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Red114
465222.1
255916.4
272035.1
Blue134
108948.3
872123.7
164716.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6697204080120140160114134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+40
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
72Total teleop91
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#6
20Game pieces#29
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
114Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2720
#16
35.12.6
27.329.9
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
blue by 13.2
48.32.1
39.041.2
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End2.5
Second
4652
#30
22.12.6
21.323.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
blue by 1.6
8721
#24
23.72.1
24.927.1
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Third
2559
#23
16.42.6
13.215.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
red by 0.2
1647
#21
16.22.1
17.619.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed