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Red108
465338.8
511324.6
10356.9
Blue12
540134.5
549011.8
475020.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125775010015020010812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+80Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +70
11Coral scored#2
38Coral points6
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
18Processor points0
20Net points0
38Algae points0
76Total teleop6
Reef
4L4#1
6L3#0
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#2
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
108Total score12

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#2
56.90.1
50.750.9
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
red by 22.4
34.54.1
35.431.3
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
Second
38.80.1
33.233.4
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
red by 18.7
4750
#27
20.16.3
20.213.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
Third
5113
#19
24.60.1
22.122.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End4.6
red by 12.8
5490
#28
11.86.3
17.511.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed