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Red119
566620.6
27244.3
457526.6
Blue126
125739.8
87049.5
48448.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94100708090110120130140119126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+43
Endgame+31
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave9
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points30
19Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +23
12Coral scored#19
44Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
12Processor points12
4Net points4
16Algae points16
60Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
24Foul points0
119Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#6
44.30.6
43.043.6
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
blue by 4.6
484
#14
48.92.6
44.346.9
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
Second
4575
#25
26.60.6
23.624.2
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
blue by 13.3
39.82.6
36.939.5
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
Third
5666
#32
20.60.6
19.620.2
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 11.1
8704
#31
9.52.6
6.08.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed