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Red93
758731.8
31642.1
48617.8
Blue75
1014320.4
622642.2
42719.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91850501502002503009375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+12Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#12
38Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
56Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
93Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#10
42.10.9
38.239.1
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
blue by 0.1
6226
#20
42.20.1
42.041.9
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
Second
7587
#17
31.80.9
20.221.1
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1
red by 11.4
20.40.1
18.118.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Third
486
#22
17.80.9
18.419.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 1.8
427
#33
19.60.1
13.613.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed