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Red149
201634.3
70852.5
272237.0
Blue157
32140.1
36557.4
901550.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10416050150200149157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
21Coral scored#23
77Coral points81
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
105Total teleop123
Reef
6L4#11
9L3#8
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
149Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#8
52.52.8
43.546.3
Auto9.8
Teleop34.4
End8.4
blue by 4.9
365
#1
57.40.8
51.352.1
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
Second
2722
#15
37.02.8
25.928.7
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
blue by 13.3
9015
#12
50.30.8
50.851.6
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
Third
2016
#18
34.32.8
26.829.6
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
blue by 5.8
321
#26
40.10.8
36.937.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed