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Red157
272035.1
171236.8
125739.8
Blue78
872123.7
457526.6
255916.4
86%Model gave it14%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130865010015020015778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+69Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
21Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +54
22Coral scored#13
80Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
122Total teleop68
Reef
13L4#6
7L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
157Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.82.3
39.541.8
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
red by 13.3
4575
#25
26.60.9
24.223.3
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
Second
1712
#11
36.82.3
27.329.6
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
red by 13.0
8721
#24
23.70.9
27.126.2
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Third
2720
#16
35.12.3
29.932.2
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
red by 18.7
2559
#23
16.40.9
15.714.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed