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Qual 462025 FMA District Bensalem Event
Red117
31642.1
465222.1
48448.9
Blue156
909447.8
465338.8
741440.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151256080100140160180200117156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+25
Endgame+41
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points29
30Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#21
41Coral points74
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
24Processor points12
12Net points8
36Algae points20
77Total teleop94
Reef
3L4#8
5L3#10
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +16
8Cage & park24
8Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points0
117Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#14
48.90.3
46.9→47.2
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
red by 1.1
9094
#5
47.82.8
43.9→46.7
Auto13.3
Teleop27.0
End7.5
Second
316
#10
42.10.3
39.1→39.4
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
red by 1.3
7414
#13
40.82.8
36.4→39.2
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
Third
4652
#30
22.10.3
23.9→24.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
blue by 16.7
4653
#4
38.82.8
33.4→36.2
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned