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Red114
36557.4
566620.6
164716.2
Blue129
901550.3
272237.0
42719.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071108090100120130140150114129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points29
20Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +1
14Coral scored#18
52Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
88Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#11
6L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
2Foul points6
114Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
57.40.0
52.152.1
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
red by 7.1
9015
#12
50.30.7
51.652.3
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
Second
5666
#32
20.60.0
20.220.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End2.3
blue by 16.5
2722
#15
37.00.7
28.729.4
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Third
1647
#21
16.20.0
19.719.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
blue by 3.4
427
#33
19.60.7
13.514.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed