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Red119
758731.8
622642.2
201634.3
Blue145
27244.3
475020.1
70852.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212350150200119145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
17Coral scored#20
61Coral points71
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
24Processor points18
16Net points16
40Algae points34
101Total teleop105
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
119Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6226
#20
42.21.0
41.942.9
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
blue by 10.3
708
#8
52.52.0
46.348.3
Auto9.8
Teleop34.4
End8.4
Second
2016
#18
34.31.0
29.630.6
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
blue by 10.0
272
#6
44.32.0
43.645.6
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
Third
7587
#17
31.81.0
21.122.1
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1
red by 11.7
4750
#27
20.12.9
13.816.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned