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Red124
10356.9
540134.5
87049.5
Blue103
48617.8
108948.3
1014320.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10789406080120140160180124103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +35
18Coral scored#13
64Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
94Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
124Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#2
56.91.5
50.952.3
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
red by 8.7
48.31.0
41.242.2
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End2.5
Second
34.51.5
31.332.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
red by 14.1
20.41.0
18.119.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Third
8704
#31
9.51.5
8.610.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 8.3
486
#22
17.81.0
19.320.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned