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Red107
549011.8
32140.1
171236.8
Blue130
511324.6
255916.4
36557.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10311850150107130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+15
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +12
18Coral scored#19
65Coral points67
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
85Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#11
5L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
107Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#26
40.10.0
37.737.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
blue by 17.3
365
#1
57.40.9
52.153.0
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
Second
1712
#11
36.80.0
29.629.5
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
red by 12.1
5113
#19
24.60.9
22.223.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End4.6
Third
5490
#28
11.80.1
11.111.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 4.6
2559
#23
16.40.9
14.815.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned