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Red115
42719.6
457526.6
31642.1
Blue118
164716.2
48448.9
901550.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8114150100200115118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
79Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#8
6L3#4
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points12
115Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#10
42.11.8
39.441.2
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
blue by 8.2
9015
#12
50.31.6
52.350.7
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
Second
4575
#25
26.61.8
23.325.1
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
blue by 22.4
484
#14
48.91.6
47.245.6
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
Third
427
#33
19.61.8
14.216.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
red by 3.4
1647
#21
16.21.6
19.718.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed