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Qual 522025 FMA District Bensalem Event
Red118
201634.3
872123.7
741440.8
Blue143
758731.8
272035.1
10356.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10612350150200118143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
2Coral scored#0
8Coral points0
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
18Coral scored#21
65Coral points74
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#4
18Processor points30
16Net points16
34Algae points46
99Total teleop120
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
118Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7414
#13
40.80.5
39.2→39.8
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
blue by 16.2
103
#2
56.91.5
52.3→53.8
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
Second
2016
#18
34.30.5
30.6→31.1
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
blue by 0.8
2720
#16
35.11.5
32.2→33.7
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Third
8721
#24
23.70.5
26.2→26.7
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
blue by 8.1
7587
#17
31.81.5
22.1→23.6
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned