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Red96
272237.0
566620.6
475020.1
Blue53
87049.5
511324.6
465222.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7963020401001201401609653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
76Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
96Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2722
#15
37.02.0
29.431.4
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
red by 12.4
5113
#19
24.60.3
23.122.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End4.6
Second
5666
#32
20.62.0
20.122.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End2.3
blue by 1.5
4652
#30
22.10.3
24.223.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
Third
4750
#27
20.12.6
16.719.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
red by 10.6
8704
#31
9.50.3
10.19.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned