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Red117
540134.5
1014320.4
32140.1
Blue115
27244.3
48617.8
622642.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101129406080120140160180117115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+16Teleop
+8Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
20Coral scored#16
71Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
85Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points6
117Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#26
40.11.7
37.739.4
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
blue by 4.2
272
#6
44.30.2
45.645.4
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
Second
34.51.7
32.834.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
blue by 7.7
6226
#20
42.20.2
42.942.7
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
Third
20.41.7
19.120.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End1.8
red by 2.6
486
#22
17.80.2
20.320.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned