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Red105
511324.6
475020.1
901550.3
Blue138
10356.9
272237.0
457526.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102126406080140160180200105138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
12Coral scored#21
44Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
68Total teleop101
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#6
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
105Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#12
50.30.8
50.751.5
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
blue by 6.6
103
#2
56.91.8
53.855.7
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
Second
5113
#19
24.60.8
22.823.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End4.6
blue by 12.4
2722
#15
37.01.8
31.433.2
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Third
4750
#27
20.11.0
19.420.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
blue by 6.5
4575
#25
26.61.8
25.126.9
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned