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Red119
272035.1
741440.8
42719.6
Blue140
87049.5
171236.8
36557.4
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119124100110130140150119140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +10
16Coral scored#22
59Coral points79
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
83Total teleop93
Reef
8L4#12
4L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
119Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7414
#13
40.80.6
39.840.3
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
blue by 16.6
365
#1
57.41.8
53.054.8
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
Second
2720
#16
35.10.6
33.734.2
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
blue by 1.6
1712
#11
36.81.8
29.531.4
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
Third
427
#33
19.60.6
16.016.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End3.1
red by 10.1
8704
#31
9.51.8
9.811.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned