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Red95
164716.2
125739.8
622642.2
Blue94
201634.3
465222.1
1014320.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12584501001502009594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+7Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
77Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +6
2Cage & park8
2Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
95Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6226
#20
42.21.0
42.741.8
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
red by 7.9
2016
#18
34.30.8
31.131.9
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
Second
39.81.0
43.242.3
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
red by 17.8
4652
#30
22.10.8
23.924.8
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
Third
1647
#21
16.21.0
18.117.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
blue by 4.2
20.40.8
20.721.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed