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Red67
48617.8
255916.4
540134.5
Blue114
909447.8
566620.6
31642.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7513505010015020067114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+49
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +39
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points40
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#4
6Processor points18
0Net points16
6Algae points34
35Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
67Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.2
34.434.2
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
blue by 13.3
47.80.2
48.248.4
Auto13.3
Teleop27.0
End7.5
Second
486
#22
17.80.2
20.119.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 24.3
316
#10
42.10.2
41.241.4
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
Third
2559
#23
16.40.2
15.815.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7
blue by 4.1
5666
#32
20.60.2
22.122.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned