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Red44
272237.0
549011.8
465222.1
Blue111
457526.6
741440.8
540134.5
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6389020408010012014016044111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+53
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +56
6Coral scored#17
20Coral points60
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
28Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
44Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2722
#15
37.00.9
20.119.2
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
blue by 3.8
7414
#13
40.82.3
26.629.0
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
Second
4652
#30
22.10.9
19.718.8
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
blue by 12.4
34.52.3
27.329.6
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
Third
5490
#28
11.81.6
18.216.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 14.7
4575
#25
26.62.3
22.024.3
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned