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Red94
171236.8
201634.3
164716.2
Blue98
48448.9
475020.1
758731.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831000501502002509498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
68Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#4
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
94Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1712
#11
36.80.7
24.024.7
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
blue by 12.2
484
#14
48.90.4
38.338.7
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
Second
2016
#18
34.30.7
22.022.8
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
red by 2.5
7587
#17
31.80.4
17.017.4
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1
Third
1647
#21
16.20.7
16.216.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
blue by 3.9
4750
#27
20.10.7
18.419.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned