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Red162
872123.7
10356.9
36557.4
Blue155
272237.0
171236.8
758731.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17312650100150200250162155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+27Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
28Coral scored#23
101Coral points83
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
125Total teleop115
Reef
17L4#10
8L3#8
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
162Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
57.40.3
56.556.8
Auto8.9
Teleop40.9
End7.6
red by 20.4
2722
#15
37.00.9
35.636.5
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Second
103
#2
56.90.3
56.056.3
Auto7.2
Teleop43.2
End6.5
red by 20.2
1712
#11
36.80.9
35.336.2
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
Third
8721
#24
23.70.3
22.823.1
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.3
blue by 8.1
7587
#17
31.80.9
30.431.3
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1