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Red193
201634.3
32140.1
48448.9
Blue151
272035.1
540134.5
108948.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129124050100150200250300193151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +30
30Coral scored#18
107Coral points65
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#7
12Processor points24
28Net points28
40Algae points52
147Total teleop117
Reef
11L4#8
12L3#6
9L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
193Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#14
48.91.4
47.949.4
Auto10.9
Teleop34.3
End3.7
red by 0.7
48.30.6
47.748.3
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End2.5
Second
321
#26
40.11.4
39.140.6
Auto14.9
Teleop23.5
End1.8
red by 5.0
2720
#16
35.10.6
34.535.1
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
Third
2016
#18
34.31.4
33.334.8
Auto4.6
Teleop28.1
End1.7
blue by 0.2
34.50.6
33.934.5
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9