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Red149
27244.3
164716.2
125739.8
Blue197
272237.0
171236.8
758731.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127128100120140160180149197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+50
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +56
25Coral scored#31
91Coral points111
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#8
12Processor points24
8Net points32
20Algae points56
111Total teleop167
Reef
7L4#12
7L3#7
8L2#9
7L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#46
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
149Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#6
44.30.2
44.144.2
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End9.5
red by 7.3
2722
#15
37.01.3
33.234.5
Auto9.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8
Second
39.80.2
39.639.8
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End2.0
red by 3.1
1712
#11
36.81.3
32.934.3
Auto6.0
Teleop25.5
End5.3
Third
1647
#21
16.20.2
16.016.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End0.3
blue by 15.6
7587
#17
31.81.3
28.029.3
Auto2.2
Teleop25.5
End4.1