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Red130
465338.8
901550.3
622642.2
Blue124
31642.1
741440.8
255916.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14810550200130124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points22
23Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +8
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
18Processor points18
16Net points8
34Algae points26
93Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
130Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#12
50.30.0
50.450.4
Auto10.6
Teleop38.1
End1.6
red by 8.2
316
#10
42.10.4
41.942.3
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
Second
6226
#20
42.20.0
42.342.3
Auto3.9
Teleop36.3
End2.0
red by 1.4
7414
#13
40.80.4
40.641.0
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
Third
38.80.0
38.938.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
red by 22.3
2559
#23
16.40.4
16.116.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End2.7