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Red131
272035.1
540134.5
108948.3
Blue106
31642.1
741440.8
457526.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611850100150200131106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+35Teleop
+27Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave0
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points38
26Total auto38
TeleoperatedRed +47
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points34
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
99Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points2
131Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.30.4
47.347.7
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End2.5
red by 6.2
316
#10
42.10.1
42.242.1
Auto11.1
Teleop29.2
End1.8
Second
2720
#16
35.10.4
34.234.5
Auto5.6
Teleop25.3
End4.3
blue by 5.7
7414
#13
40.80.1
40.940.8
Auto7.5
Teleop30.6
End2.6
Third
34.50.4
33.633.9
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End1.9
red by 8.0
4575
#25
26.60.1
26.726.6
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End3.7