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Red81
426927.5
348414.3
499128.6
Blue92
1051610.2
170838.5
1020814.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7274204060801001208192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+5
Endgame+9
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
70Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points2
81Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#12
28.60.3
22.522.8
Auto4.0
Teleop21.5
End3.0
blue by 9.9
1708
#19
38.51.5
25.226.8
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
Second
4269
#28
27.50.3
23.523.8
Auto3.9
Teleop20.1
End3.5
red by 13.0
14.51.5
18.920.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Third
3484
#44
14.30.3
18.618.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 4.1
10.21.5
17.919.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed