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Red68
349230.1
1058214.0
751525.8
Blue34
566720.2
870515.5
541313.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67800501001502002503003506834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
52Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#6
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
68Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#22
30.10.3
22.522.8
Auto5.4
Teleop23.2
End1.5
red by 9.9
5667
#49
20.24.6
28.023.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.6
End0.8
Second
7515
#36
25.80.3
19.720.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End4.0
red by 10.2
8705
#24
15.54.6
17.813.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Third
14.03.6
14.518.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.6
red by 0.1
5413
#46
13.94.6
23.218.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed