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Red63
26418.5
326023.5
349230.1
Blue105
683419.4
414551.3
415017.9
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667805010015063105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+48
Endgame+60
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
28Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
18Foul points0
63Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#22
30.11.7
22.821.1
Auto5.4
Teleop23.2
End1.5
blue by 21.2
4145
#11
51.33.6
29.733.4
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
Second
3260
#20
23.51.7
19.417.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.4
End4.6
red by 4.1
6834
#32
19.43.6
14.918.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Third
2641
#52
8.51.7
15.313.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 9.5
4150
#50
17.93.6
21.625.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned