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Red59
947519.5
412129.0
1058214.0
Blue33
460116.5
1020719.6
727419.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735602040801001205933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
6Coral scored#3
21Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
31Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
59Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.01.0
26.425.4
Auto6.5
Teleop18.6
End3.8
red by 9.4
19.62.7
18.916.2
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Second
9475
#13
19.51.0
18.317.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 0.3
7274
#51
19.22.7
21.919.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End3.3
Third
14.01.0
18.117.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 2.5
4601
#29
16.51.6
10.99.2
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed