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Red91
239938.6
976712.8
870515.5
Blue78
209521.6
217224.3
919414.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696002040801001201409178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
69Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points8
91Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.61.2
32.733.9
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End2.9
red by 14.3
2172
#33
24.30.7
17.418.0
Auto4.5
Teleop17.7
End2.1
Second
8705
#24
15.52.1
13.315.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 6.1
2095
#45
21.60.4
18.919.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End2.9
Third
9767
#34
12.82.1
14.416.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 1.7
9194
#53
14.60.7
17.318.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed