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Red94
499128.6
37935.6
67726.1
Blue86
348414.3
446732.4
349230.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857602040601001201409486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+2
+6Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
65Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points0
94Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#4Sur
35.61.4
29.831.3
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
red by 3.2
4467
#23
32.41.5
25.627.1
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
Second
4991
#12
28.62.2
22.824.9
Auto4.0
Teleop21.5
End3.0
blue by 1.5
3492
#22
30.12.3
21.123.4
Auto5.4
Teleop23.2
End1.5
Third
677
#17
26.12.2
19.922.1
Auto6.0
Teleop17.6
End2.5
red by 11.8
3484
#44Sur
14.32.3
18.921.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed