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Red125
446732.4
11737.4
37935.6
Blue63
326023.5
426927.5
1058214.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9459020408012014012563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+50Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points36
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
83Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
125Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117
#7
37.43.4
22.625.9
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
red by 9.9
4269
#28
27.50.7
21.520.8
Auto3.9
Teleop20.1
End3.5
Second
379
#4
35.62.0
31.333.3
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
red by 12.1
3260
#20
23.50.7
18.818.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.4
End4.6
Third
4467
#23
32.42.0
27.129.1
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
red by 18.4
14.00.7
14.914.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed