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Red137
751525.8
45123.4
414551.3
Blue102
67726.1
350426.1
727419.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818090100110130137102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points17
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +25
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points48
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
85Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#5
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points6
137Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#11
51.35.8
31.237.0
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
red by 25.2
3504
#21
26.11.0
22.623.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Second
7515
#36
25.85.8
17.923.7
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End4.0
blue by 0.3
677
#17
26.11.0
22.123.0
Auto6.0
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Third
451
#35
23.45.8
18.023.8
Auto3.1
Teleop19.6
End0.6
red by 4.1
7274
#51
19.21.0
22.423.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned