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Red87
541313.9
353956.1
900414.4
Blue31
348414.3
415017.9
1051317.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103710204060801201401608731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
47Total teleop11
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
6Foul points2
87Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.4
52.952.5
Auto20.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 38.2
4150
#50
17.93.9
20.917.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Second
9004
#47
14.40.6
13.613.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End0.8
blue by 3.1
17.53.9
22.218.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Third
5413
#46
13.90.6
20.219.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 0.5
3484
#44
14.33.9
21.217.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed