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Red39
223415.3
398416.7
976712.8
Blue74
1051610.2
947519.5
402743.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64703040506080901003974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+41
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +35
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#16
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
39Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3984
#37
16.71.8
24.923.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
blue by 26.3
43.01.9
27.129.0
Auto7.8
Teleop32.6
End2.6
Second
2234
#48
15.31.1
15.114.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 4.2
9475
#13
19.51.9
14.516.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Third
9767
#34
12.81.8
15.413.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End2.3
red by 2.6
10.21.9
15.117.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed