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Red121
941521.7
263832.2
870515.5
Blue105
574043.1
260333.3
1051519.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510350150121105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+6
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points34
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
79Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
121Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#10
32.25.1
30.335.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.4
End6.2
blue by 10.9
43.10.5
35.435.9
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End7.1
Second
9415
#15
21.75.1
13.118.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.1
blue by 11.7
2603
#16
33.30.5
32.332.8
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End4.4
Third
8705
#24
15.55.1
14.519.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 4.0
19.50.5
16.216.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed