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Red91
1058214.0
412250.1
67726.1
Blue56
1020814.5
919414.6
683419.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955902040801201401609156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points22
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
6Processor points12
20Net points4
26Algae points16
52Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
91Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.5
38.238.7
Auto14.2
Teleop27.4
End8.5
red by 30.6
6834
#32
19.40.3
17.116.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Second
677
#17
26.10.8
23.023.8
Auto6.0
Teleop17.6
End2.5
red by 11.5
9194
#53
14.60.3
15.715.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End1.5
Third
14.00.8
14.215.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 0.5
14.50.3
17.517.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed