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Red29
727419.2
26418.5
446732.4
Blue52
405014.1
348414.3
566720.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765402040601001202952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
16Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
29Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#23
32.42.4
29.126.7
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
red by 12.2
5667
#49
20.20.5
17.517.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.6
End0.8
Second
7274
#51
19.24.0
23.319.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End3.3
red by 4.9
3484
#44
14.30.5
17.316.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
2641
#52
8.54.0
9.65.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 5.6
4050
#26
14.10.5
12.912.4
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed