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Red123
170838.5
239938.6
37935.6
Blue58
263832.2
541313.9
1051519.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1157720406010014016012358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +58
15Coral scored#6
55Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
12Processor points0
24Net points12
36Algae points12
91Total teleop33
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
123Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.9
33.934.8
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End2.9
red by 6.5
2638
#10
32.22.8
35.432.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.4
End6.2
Second
1708
#19
38.51.5
31.432.8
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
red by 19.0
19.52.8
16.713.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Third
379
#4
35.60.9
33.334.2
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
red by 21.7
5413
#46
13.92.8
19.616.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed