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Red65
265617.9
209521.6
900414.4
Blue85
398416.7
751525.8
426927.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697940601001201406585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
49Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
65Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2095
#45
21.60.3
20.420.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End2.9
blue by 5.9
4269
#28
27.50.6
20.821.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.1
End3.5
Second
2656
#41
17.90.6
26.325.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End1.0
blue by 7.8
7515
#36
25.80.6
23.724.3
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End4.0
Third
9004
#47
14.40.6
13.012.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End0.8
blue by 2.3
3984
#37
16.70.6
23.123.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed