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Red73
919414.6
402743.0
70917.3
Blue89
574043.1
326023.5
947519.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66812040601001201407389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
51Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
73Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.4
29.030.5
Auto7.8
Teleop32.6
End2.6
blue by 0.1
43.12.1
35.938.0
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End7.1
Second
709
#31
17.30.9
15.516.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
blue by 6.2
3260
#20
23.52.1
18.120.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.4
End4.6
Third
9194
#53
14.61.4
15.416.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End1.5
blue by 4.9
9475
#13
19.52.1
16.418.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned