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Red81
6334.0
460116.5
217224.3
Blue104
412250.1
941521.7
45123.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669905015081104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +14
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
66Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#11
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
81Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
#14
34.01.2
25.927.1
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End4.1
blue by 16.1
50.10.6
38.739.3
Auto14.2
Teleop27.4
End8.5
Second
2172
#33
24.31.2
19.821.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 0.9
451
#35
23.41.0
23.824.8
Auto3.1
Teleop19.6
End0.6
Third
4601
#29
16.50.7
12.212.9
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End1.6
blue by 5.2
9415
#15
21.71.0
18.219.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed