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Red58
1051610.2
260333.3
1051317.5
Blue95
349230.1
11737.4
902218.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8074506070901001105895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +44
8Coral scored#17
30Coral points62
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
38Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
58Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#16
33.31.1
32.831.7
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End4.4
blue by 4.1
117
#7
37.43.4
25.929.3
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
Second
17.51.1
18.317.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 12.6
3492
#22
30.13.4
23.226.6
Auto5.4
Teleop23.2
End1.5
Third
10.21.1
17.015.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
blue by 8.7
9022
#27
18.93.4
15.618.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed