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Red43
870515.5
415017.9
223415.3
Blue88
1020719.6
414551.3
1051221.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609402040801201401604388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+49
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +38
4Coral scored#12
14Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
24Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
43Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4150
#50
17.91.8
17.015.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End3.6
blue by 33.4
4145
#11
51.30.9
37.037.9
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
Second
8705
#24
15.51.8
19.617.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 5.9
21.40.9
20.621.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End3.9
Third
2234
#48
15.31.1
14.013.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 4.3
19.60.9
13.714.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed