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Red76
751525.8
263832.2
727419.2
Blue84
749718.0
683419.4
353956.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891034060801201407684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
61Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
76Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#10
32.20.0
32.632.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.4
End6.2
blue by 23.9
56.10.2
51.751.5
Auto20.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Second
7515
#36
25.80.0
24.324.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End4.0
red by 6.3
6834
#32
19.40.4
16.816.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Third
7274
#51
19.20.0
19.319.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End3.3
red by 1.2
7497
#18
18.00.2
18.818.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed