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Red93
37935.6
223415.3
350426.1
Blue96
412129.0
67726.1
239938.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801042040601201401609396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points28
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
63Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
93Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#4
35.61.2
35.837.0
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
blue by 3.0
38.60.4
34.635.0
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End2.9
Second
3504
#21
26.12.0
23.225.2
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
blue by 2.8
29.00.7
27.628.4
Auto6.5
Teleop18.6
End3.8
Third
2234
#48
15.31.2
12.714.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 10.8
677
#17
26.10.7
24.725.4
Auto6.0
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed