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Red63
1051221.4
405014.1
349230.1
Blue98
426927.5
870515.5
749718.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73710501001502006398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+35
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
41Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
6Foul points24
63Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#22
30.10.1
25.925.8
Auto5.4
Teleop23.2
End1.5
red by 2.5
4269
#28
27.51.0
19.921.0
Auto3.9
Teleop20.1
End3.5
Second
21.40.1
20.120.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.9
End3.9
red by 3.4
7497
#18
18.00.6
18.719.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
Third
4050
#26
14.10.1
11.811.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 1.4
8705
#24
15.51.0
17.218.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed