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Qual 582025 Greater Pittsburgh Regional
Red42
348414.3
209521.6
1051610.2
Blue76
70917.3
902218.9
683419.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352203040607080904276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+30
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +35
4Coral scored#12
16Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
22Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
2Foul points6
42Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2095
#45
21.61.0
20.2→19.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End2.9
red by 2.2
6834
#32
19.41.4
16.5→17.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Second
3484
#44
14.31.7
16.4→14.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 4.6
9022
#27
18.91.4
19.2→20.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.8
Third
10516
#40
10.21.7
13.3→11.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
blue by 7.1
709
#31
17.30.8
16.0→16.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned