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Red42
976712.8
919414.6
265617.9
Blue65
415017.9
11737.4
26418.5
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596240507080904265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+25
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
22Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points0
42Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2656
#41
17.91.5
23.121.6
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End1.0
blue by 19.5
117
#7
37.40.6
32.533.1
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
Second
9194
#53
14.61.5
14.713.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End1.5
blue by 3.4
4150
#50
17.90.6
15.315.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Third
9767
#34
12.81.5
9.78.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End2.3
red by 4.4
2641
#52
8.50.6
5.96.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned